Israel Election Outcome Could Shift Policies on Palestinians and Region, Say Experts

Israel's upcoming general election is widely seen as a pivotal moment in the country's political landscape, with polls suggesting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's far-right coalition may fall short of a parliamentary majority. However, the opposition's reluctance to ally with Arab parties could complicate efforts to form a governing majority, even if they win the most votes.

Legal Challenges and Coalition Dynamics Netanyahu's legal troubles, including three corruption trials, have shaped his political strategy, leading him to align with far-right and ultra-Orthodox parties to maintain power. Opposition figures like Gadi Eisenkot, a retired military chief, have declined to join his government due to these alliances. The outcome hinges on whether voters prioritize policy shifts or stability amid ongoing conflicts.

Potential Policy Changes A new government could reverse controversial judicial reforms and improve humanitarian conditions in Gaza. The author argues that a post-Netanyahu administration might facilitate a ceasefire, release hostages, and adopt a more diplomatic approach to Lebanon, Syria, and Iran. Policies like the E1 settlement project could also face suspension, potentially easing tensions in the West Bank.

Limitations and Realities While the opposition's refusal to collaborate with Arab parties limits transformative change, the author contends that even incremental shifts—such as merit-based civil service appointments and reduced settler violence—could restore democratic norms. The piece emphasizes that international engagement remains critical to driving progress, despite the election's uncertain impact.